With 8 games left to the season, we are one game back in the standings for the 10 spot
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The Lakers are reeling and Lebron just twisted his ankle - probably going to miss a couple games at least, we also have a significantly easier schedule remaining.
Spurs remaining games:
With Portland shamelessly tanking and Houston as bad as they are, I'd say 4-4 is a fairly likely scenario, assuming we pick up one of the remaining 5 games
Lakers Remaining Schedule:
If you concede the Lakers the OKC game, they'd still need to pick up an additional 3 wins with a fairly tough schedule, AND we own the tiebreaker (2-2 head to head, but 4 games ahead in the conference w/l).
The Pelicans have a pretty easy schedule including Portland 2x, LA Lakers and Clippers (who have lost 5 in a row), and Sacramento among their 7 remaining games.
Of course anything can happen - we aren't good enough to guarantee anything, but I think it's more likely than not we'll at least make the play-in. That does hurt our lottery chances, but it's the way it's set up.
If we do make the play-in, we'd have to beat New Orleans and then probably the Clippers (losing to the T-Wolves). I'd say we would at least have a decent chance of pulling that off.