clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Study Hall: Spurs smother Bucks

New, comments

The Spurs had an off shooting night and scored just 95 points, but still managed to win by 25 thanks to their smothering defense.

Soobum Im-USA TODAY Sports

Spurs 95, Bucks 70 - Dec 2, '15

This game was far from pretty, with the Spurs connecting on just 43.5% of their twos and 70% of their free throws. Despite the poor offensive showing, the Spurs still blew out a Bucks squad which simply could not buy a bucket and scored just 70 points on the night. If the Spurs can hold opponents to such dismal point totals, I don't care if they hit another three pointer all year.*

Teams can often overcome a poor shooting performance by winning the turnover and rebounding battles, overcoming a poor Points per Shot mark by simply giving themselves more shot attempts. The Bucks were unable to do either.

In addition to holding Milwaukee to a miserable 36% effective field goal percentage, the Spurs crushed the Bucks on the boards (gaining a +4.7 expected offensive rebounding advantage) and topped things off with another big advantage in Ball Control, more than doubling up their opponents in BCI, and netting more steals than turnovers. So basically:

Bambi

Poor Bambi couldn't catch a break last night

While poor offensive showings are a bit concerning, it's also great to see the Spurs win and win big despite poor shooting. The Spurs defense has been so good that they only have to have a mediocre shooting night to beat most teams.

Danny Green's struggles from the field continued as he missed all four of his three point shots. It looks like he's beginning to hesitate to shoot, although the Spurs' passes to him on the perimeter don't look to be as accurate as in past seasons - Danny sometimes has to twist his body to make the catch, or re-set himself before shooting, which could be contributing to his lower numbers. Hopefully Danny warms up soon and starts shaking off the Ice.

Kawhi and LaMarcus both struggled with efficiency, going a combined 6/22 from the field.  But they both contributed in other ways, with Kawhi hitting 7/8 from the line and dishing out 4 assists, while Aldridge chipped in 9 boards and 5 blocks. I've said it before, but Aldridge really is a workhorse. He is a big help for this team even when his offense is inefficient.

The only truly notable (in a good way) performance came from Duncan, who put up 16 and 10 in just 20 minutes of play. I take that back, there's really nothing notable about that coming from Big Fun. Just business as usual. [Editor's Note: But compared with the rest of the league, it is exceptional. jrw]

Gregg Popovich seems to be turning more and more to Jonathan Simmons over Rasual Butler. Simmons played some quality minutes and provided two of the most exciting plays of the night (stay tuned for Chris Itz's GIF breakdown). I'm exciting to see Simmons' continue to earn Pop's trust. He has a very high ceiling, and hopefully the Spurs can develop him into a valuable role player.

All in all, a pretty marginal offensive performance wasn't close to enough to cost the Spurs as their defense and execution completely stifled Jason Kidd's young Bucks.  With Ginobili playing just 12 minutes and Duncan 20, we'll see how much (if at all) those two play as the Spurs travel to Memphis to take on the Grizzlies.  Go Spurs Go!

* I do care, please don't try this

Four Factors (def.)

Spurs Bucks
Shooting (eFG%) 45% 36%
Ball Handling (TO%) 10% 18%
Off Rebounding (OR%) 22% 13%
Shooting FTs (FT Rate) 22% 23%

Team Stats (Definitions at bottom of post)

Spurs Bucks
Pace (No. of Possessions) 96.9
Points Per Possession (PPP) 0.98 0.72
Points Per Shot (PPS) 1.06 0.91
2-PT FG% 43.5% 35.9%
3-PT FG% 33.3% 23.1%
FT% 70.0% 83.3%
True Shooting % 48.1% 41.2%
Spurs
Bucks
Offensive Rating 97.1 73.0
Defensive Rating 73.0 97.1
Net Rating 24.2 -24.2
Spurs Bucks
Passes / poss. 3.8 2.6
% of FGA uncontested 50.0% 39.0%
Points in the paint 48 34
Second chance points 15 8
Fast break points 12 5
Spurs Bucks
Assists 25 17
Steals 11 6
Turnovers 10 16
Ball Control Index (BCI)
(Assists + Steals) / TO
3.60 1.44
Spurs Bucks
Expected Offensive Rebounds 12.3 12.0
Offensive Rebounds 11 6
Difference -1.3 -6.0

Spurs Shot Chart

Bucks Shot Chart

Players (Definitions at bottom of post, columns sortable)

Spurs

Player
Min
AdjGS
GS/Min
Line
Usage%
Floor%
OffRtg
DefRtg
NetRtg
Tim Duncan 20 16.4 0.83 16 Pts (7-11 FG, 2-2 FT) 10 Reb (3 Off), 1 Ast, 1 Stl, 2 TO, 1 PF 29% 57% 101.4 76.1 25.3
Patty Mills 22 11.6 0.51 13 Pts (5-11 FG, 3-6 3PT ) 3 Reb (0 Off), 3 Ast, 23% 51% 96.4 78.7 17.7
Boris Diaw 25 10.8 0.43 11 Pts (5-9 FG, 1-1 3PT, 0-2 FT) 6 Reb (3 Off), 3 Ast, 1 TO, 1 PF 20% 50% 99.2 75.2 24.0
Kawhi Leonard 25 10.7 0.42 13 Pts (3-12 FG, 0-1 3PT, 7-8 FT) 3 Reb (2 Off), 4 Ast, 1 PF 26% 52% 97.8 70.6 27.2
David West 18 9.2 0.51 4 Pts (2-6 FG) 8 Reb (1 Off), 2 Ast, 2 Blk, 2 Stl, 14% 42% 119.9 69.3 50.7
Tony Parker 18 8.1 0.44 8 Pts (2-6 FG, 1-1 3PT, 3-4 FT) 1 Reb (0 Off), 3 Ast, 2 Stl, 1 TO, 1 PF 19% 49% 99.3 62.6 36.7
Jonathon Simmons 20 6.4 0.32 8 Pts (4-6 FG, 0-1 3PT, 0-1 FT) 1 Reb (0 Off), 2 Ast, 1 TO 18% 56% 104.9 75.7 29.2
LaMarcus Aldridge 23 6.1 0.27 6 Pts (3-10 FG) 9 Reb (2 Off), 5 Blk, 1 TO, 2 PF 21% 26% 80.2 73.2 7.0
Rasual Butler 10 5.6 0.55 5 Pts (2-4 FG, 1-2 3PT ) 2 Reb (0 Off), 1 Ast, 1 Blk, 20% 55% 79.4 66.9 12.6
Kyle Anderson 19 4.8 0.26 4 Pts (1-3 FG, 0-1 3PT, 2-3 FT) 5 Reb (0 Off), 1 Blk, 3 Stl, 2 TO, 2 PF 16% 32% 85.6 68.2 17.5
Manu Ginobili 12 4.5 0.39 5 Pts (2-5 FG, 1-2 3PT ) , 3 Ast, 1 Stl, 1 TO, 1 PF 24% 45% 90.5 83.8 6.7
Danny Green 21 2.6 0.13 2 Pts (1-5 FG, 0-4 3PT ) 4 Reb (0 Off), 2 Ast, 2 Stl, 3 PF 10% 32% 102.7 71.4 31.3
Matt Bonner 7 -1.6 -0.22 0 Pts (0-2 FG, 0-2 3PT ) 1 Reb (0 Off), 1 Ast, 1 TO 22% 13% 93.2 81.8 11.3

Show Bucks Players

Spurs Index: 110.2 (def.)

Factor Value Score
Passing (AST%) 67.6% 32.7
Shooting (eFG%) 45.0% 16.8
Defensive Rebounding (DReb%) 87.5% 22.9
Defense (DefRtg) 73.0 27.4
Opponent % of FGA Uncontested 39.0% 10.5
Total 110.2

Bucks Spurs Index: 94.0 Show Breakdown

Confused? Show Advanced Stats Glossary