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Study Hall: Icy Spurs fall in the North

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The Spurs suffered a poor shooting night while Toronto couldn't miss in a frustrating matchup which saw the Spurs starting lineup struggle mightily.

John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

Spurs 94, Raptors 97 - Dec 9, '15

With Kawhi still recovering from a stomach bug, the Spurs' starting lineup looked completely out of sorts from the start. They combined for just 42 points on a horrendous 38.6% shooting. You won't win many games when your starting lineup struggles that much.

The Spurs bench fought hard to keep it close, but every time the Raptors found an answer and pushed the lead back out to low double digits. It was a frustrating game to watch. Oh, and it was played at an absolutely glacial 91.1 possession pace.

The Spurs struggled despite Toronto rolling with a ridiculously short 8-man rotation as DeMarre Carroll and Lucas Noguiera sat for the second straight game.

As expected, the Raptors athletic guard duo of Lowry and DeRozan put up big numbers, going for 19 and 28 respectively and hitting what seemed like an interminable string of difficult, contested shots. They combined to hit over 61% of their looks from inside the arc.

The rate at which they hit shots with a high degree of difficulty reminded me of Kyrie Irving's 57 point explosion last year. Sometimes, well defended shots with a high degree of difficultly just fall at an unusually high rate, and there's nothing you can do but shrug. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯.

Meanwhile, the Spurs seemed to come out on the losing end of every ball that bounced around on the rim, as Bill and Sean lamented throughout the game. Again, ¯\_(ツ)_/¯.

Manu Ginobili looked fresh after Monday's rest, leading the team with 16.3 AdjGS points, scoring 17 and spearheading a spirited fourth quarter comeback which saw the Spurs close to within three on multiple occasions.

San Antonio turned the ball over 17 times, but were beneficiaries of even sloppier play by the Raptors, whose 20 turnovers helped the Spurs stay in the game despite an enormous deficiency in all 3 shooting percentages. The Spurs also enjoyed a huge advantage on the boards, with a 4.7 advantage in expected offensive rebounds leading to almost 5 extra possessions. The extra scoring opportunities from turnovers and rebounding helped the Spurs keep this one close despite Toronto's big shooting advantage.

In the end, the Spurs were doomed by an enormous deficit in effective Field Goal percentage, as they lost the shooting battles from 1, 2, and 3. The Raptors ended up enjoying an 11% advantage in eFG%, and another 11% advantage from the charity stripe.

The Spurs play host to the Lakers on Friday, a great opportunity for a bounceback win. Somebody get Kawhi some Pedialyte in the meantime. Go Spurs Go!

Four Factors (def.)

Spurs Raptors
Shooting (eFG%) 49% 60%
Ball Handling (TO%) 19% 23%
Off Rebounding (OR%) 30% 15%
Shooting FTs (FT Rate) 31% 34%

Team Stats (Definitions at bottom of post)

Spurs Raptors
Pace (No. of Possessions) 91.1
Points Per Possession (PPP) 1.03 1.06
Points Per Shot (PPS) 1.22 1.52
2-PT FG% 52.9% 63.0%
3-PT FG% 26.9% 30.0%
FT% 79.2% 90.9%
True Shooting % 53.7% 65.8%
Spurs
Raptors
Offensive Rating 102.7 107.0
Defensive Rating 107.0 102.7
Net Rating -4.3 4.3
Spurs Raptors
Passes / poss. 3.3 2.9
% of FGA uncontested 46.8% 50.0%
Points in the paint 40 44
Second chance points 11 2
Fast break points 2 14
Spurs Raptors
Assists 23 23
Steals 10 10
Turnovers 17 20
Ball Control Index (BCI)
(Assists + Steals) / TO
1.94 1.65
Spurs Raptors
Expected Offensive Rebounds 10.8 6.5
Offensive Rebounds 13 4
Difference 2.2 -2.5

Spurs Shot Chart

Raptors Shot Chart

Players (Definitions at bottom of post, columns sortable)

Spurs

Player
Min
AdjGS
GS/Min
Line
Usage%
Floor%
OffRtg
DefRtg
NetRtg
Manu Ginobili 25 16.3 0.66 17 Pts (5-11 FG, 1-6 3PT, 6-8 FT) 4 Reb (1 Off), 3 Ast, 2 Stl, 2 TO, 5 PF 31% 56% 121.5 109.8 11.7
Kawhi Leonard 27 11.1 0.42 9 Pts (4-9 FG, 1-2 3PT, 0-1 FT) 7 Reb (4 Off), 2 Ast, 1 Blk, 1 Stl, 2 TO, 1 PF 19% 39% 84.3 108.9 -24.7
LaMarcus Aldridge 34 10.8 0.32 13 Pts (4-10 FG, 0-1 3PT, 5-6 FT) 7 Reb (3 Off), 1 Ast, 1 Blk, 3 TO, 2 PF 22% 45% 96.2 114.6 -18.3
David West 17 7.8 0.46 10 Pts (4-6 FG, 2-3 FT) 3 Reb (0 Off), 1 Ast, 2 TO, 2 PF 26% 55% 103.4 90.4 13.0
Tim Duncan 20 7.2 0.36 8 Pts (4-8 FG, ) 2 Reb (2 Off), 2 Ast, 1 TO, 1 PF 21% 50% 90.0 112.6 -22.6
Kyle Anderson 12 7.2 0.60 5 Pts (2-3 FG, 1-1 3PT ) 1 Reb (0 Off), 2 Ast, 12% 77% 108.9 118.8 -9.9
Danny Green 21 7.2 0.34 8 Pts (3-10 FG, 2-7 3PT ) 3 Reb (0 Off), 1 Ast, 3 Stl, 1 TO, 1 PF 24% 31% 79.4 98.5 -19.0
Jonathon Simmons 15 7.0 0.47 8 Pts (2-2 FG, 1-1 3PT, 3-3 FT) , 2 Ast, 2 TO, 4 PF 16% 69% 134.3 105.4 28.9
Patty Mills 22 6.8 0.31 3 Pts (1-5 FG, 1-3 3PT ) 2 Reb (1 Off), 6 Ast, 1 Stl, 1 TO 13% 45% 116.1 102.9 13.2
Boris Diaw 18 6.6 0.37 9 Pts (3-5 FG, 0-2 3PT, 3-3 FT) 2 Reb (1 Off), 2 TO, 2 PF 21% 55% 108.0 106.2 1.8
Tony Parker 30 5.6 0.19 4 Pts (2-7 FG, 0-2 3PT ) 4 Reb (1 Off), 3 Ast, 2 Stl, 1 TO, 1 PF 12% 37% 99.0 107.4 -8.4
Matt Bonner 0 0.4 1.60 0 Pts (0-1 FG, 0-1 3PT ) , 1 Stl, 41% 0% 123.0 0.0 123.0

Show Raptors Players

Spurs Index: 99.8 (def.)

Factor Value Score
Passing (AST%) 67.6% 32.7
Shooting (eFG%) 48.7% 18.1
Defensive Rebounding (DReb%) 84.6% 22.1
Defense (DefRtg) 107.0 18.7
Opponent % of FGA Uncontested 50.0% 8.2
Total 99.8

Raptors Spurs Index: 98.9 Show Breakdown

Confused? Show Advanced Stats Glossary