Now that the Spurs are safely in the Western Conference finals, it's time to address the elephant in the room: the fact that the Spurs can't beat the Thunder, especially now that Parker's hamstring is acting up again.
I look at it this way: in order to beat the Thunder in a best of 7, you need to have poise, athleticism, experience, and firepower. Memphis had everything except firepower, the Clippers lack poise (ex: Chris Paul), and the Spurs lack athleticism. Sadly, the only team that has all 4 of these qualities is the Heat. You can mock the Thunder's lack of sophistication and their resorting to hero ball, but that was good enough to beat the Spurs 2 years ago. I don't see them winning a championship with that style, but that's another conversation. Since 2012, Durant and Westbrook have only gotten better, and the Spurs have gotten older. Thankfully, the Spurs didn't have to face a full-strength Thunder last year. With the Spurs playing every other day, I see them being worn down and overwhelmed by the Thunder over a 7 game series. We've started to see the affects of playing so frequently on Manu and Timmy. Tony can handle it just fine, but they'll need all hands on deck, and I just don't know if they have enough left in the tank. I really see this as the basketball equivalent of Roger Federer - Rafael Nadal, with the Spurs as Federer, and the Thunder as Nadal. The Thunder trouble the Spurs like no other team can. Even Miami didn't trouble them as much last year. (By extension, the Heat are Djokovic. They can take the Thunder, but have trouble with the Spurs).
Plus, based on the way the Clippers got screwed, I'm afraid the Spurs will be the next team featured on "When NBA Refs Attack", since the NBA really wants a Lebron - Durant finals.
If the Spurs do get past the Thunder, I'll be the first to eat my words and I'll accept all the flaming posts that will come my way. I really hope the Spurs can pull through, but I'm worried that it's just not in the cards for this particular matchup.