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DeJuan Blairs Game Developments Throughout His First 3 seasons

I am a Huge Blair fan due to my strong ties to the City of Pittsburgh and my love of the Pitt Basketball Team/Program. He seems to be a modle citizen and a great teammate, in that he knows when you can mess around with the team, but also is highly devoted to win and will do whatever he can to give his team a better chance at victory. I absolutely loved when i heard the Spurs drafted him, because now he would be given an amazing opportunity to learn under one of the best PF ever in the game...... Tim Duncan ( who i admire not just for his talent on the court but also for his laid back personality).

Here are his NBA stats broken up within years. Currently has played in 13 games of his third season**

Rookie year 7.8 P/Game .5 BLK/Game 0.8 AST/Game 6.4 REB/Game 18.2 MIN/Game

Second year 8.4 P/Game .5 BLK/Game 1.0 AST/Game 7.0 REB/Game 21.4 MIN/Game

Third year ** 11.3 P/Game .3 BLK/Game 1.2 AST/Game 6.4 REB/Game 24.2 MIN/Game

These are his stats from his two college seasons playing for the University of Pittsburgh

Season 1 11.6 P/Game 1.1 BLK/Game 0.9 AST/Game 9.1 REB/Game 26.0 MIN/Game

Season 2 15.7 P/Game 1.0 BLK/Game 1.2 AST/Game 12.3 REB/Game 27.3 MIN/Game

After the jump i will use the data above to complete what his third NBA season should look like when it is over.

Star-divide

With another healthy year of beaning mentored by the great Timmey I really believe this will be his break out season. With one stipulation... He needs to play between 25-28 Minutes on average. If this holds true i believe his stats will be:

14.4 P/Game

0.9 BLK/Game

1.5 AST/Game

10.3 REB/Game

Well let me know what you guys think. Again i do not follow the Spurs at all, my projections came from previous stats and the fact that i know Timmey Duncan is mentoring him. I would love some feed back about this. i am really curious with how the Spurs fans view Blair.

Poll
Are my projections of DeJuan Blair's third NBA season
spot on
4 votes
optimistic
26 votes
pessimistic
0 votes

30 votes | Poll has closed

Comment 6 comments  |  0 recs  | 

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I hope you’re right, but I think he’s going to need to develop more of a jump-shot in order to get that many points per game. Right now, if he doesn’t get the ball fed to him on a cut or get an offensive rebound he doesn’t score. Hard to amass 15+ points per game doing that.

by Big50 on Jan 18, 2012 9:52 AM CST reply actions  

blair is a very interesting player. he often gets in a lot of foul trouble, limiting his minutes. i think pop would like to play him more, but he’s going to need to prove he can keep his head on straight during the game. part of his foul issues come from the fact that he’s very aggressive and physical, but i think a lot of the time it is due to mental lapses.

that’s frustrating because he has a lot of potential. his physique is very unique and has potential to get him a lot of mismatches – i think that’s where most of his offensive potential comes from. he’s quicker and has better moves than most centers, and he’s stronger and more physical than most forwards. i think these are the keys for blair moving forward:

- he needs to do a better job of finishing at the basket. this is already his offensive strongsuit, but its going to have to happen at an elite level if its going to carry his game
- he needs to work on his jumpshot and midrange moves. not only will this help the team offensively, but it will open things up a lot more for him down low if he can keep defenses honest
- his rebounding needs to improve. he has been underperforming on the boards, given his body and athleticism. i’m willing to cut him some slack since he’s been playing a lot at center where he’s at a significant height disadvantage. he could of course position himself better and use his power/leverage but i think realistically his future is at PF if his rebounding is going to improve

overall i think he could be a great part of the frontcourt of the future – which looks to be incredibly gifted physically and well-rounded. they are all very physical and above average rebounders for their size. tiago is long and athletic, blair has size and power, and kawhi represents a blend of those two body types. the potential to create and exploit mismatches is very high, but i think a lot of it depends on what kind of a player blair becomes.

by iheartyourfart on Jan 18, 2012 1:45 PM CST reply actions  

I’m the only vote for “spot on” so far, and that wasn’t an entirely honest vote. I think your averages were withing a statistical margin of error, so to speak. I’d put him likely averaging 13 points and 8-9 rebounds, just shy of a double double (which would put his averages above what Marc Gasol averaged last year, for perspective.)

Will argue against trading #45 until I am blue in the face and your eyes and ears are bleeding.

by SpursfanSteve on Jan 18, 2012 1:51 PM CST reply actions  

I think it comes down to that Blair is a short center. He’s not shown much to show that he’d ever be able to make the transition to a power forward. Being a short center, he will always have a matchup disadvantage when playing against taller strong centers (he might do okay against stringbeans). I’d think his best chance for success would be to use as models centers such as Wayne Embry and Wes Unseld, who had decent careers. I’m not sure there is a great deal that Duncan can do to mentor his game, as there is a difference between the game of a tall power forward and a short center.

by Alamo on Jan 23, 2012 10:43 AM CST reply actions  

I’m not sure where statistics might be kept for shots blocked (vs. blocks of shots), but I expect he’s had more of his own shots blocked than he has blocked shots by others. His assists are also negated by the fact that he has more turnovers than assists. At least a portion of his offensive rebounds come from recovering his shot after it’s blocked, or getting the rebound on his own miss. I think he’s got a lot going for him and might still have a future, but it will be in spot action against certain opponents. Against the right opponent he can be dominant. Even big strong centers like Bynum and he can be quicker than them, but he’d likely pick up a lot of fouls. He also needs to play alongside someone that can help cover for his shortcomings.

by Alamo on Jan 23, 2012 11:15 AM CST up reply actions  

His stats are like a roller coaster. He can be really effective, depending on the matchup, and then be pretty much the same or worse than Bonner in other games. Many times he magnifies it with turnovers or stupid fouls or by trying to do too much in the post.

Winter is coming

by grego21 on Jan 23, 2012 11:52 AM CST reply actions  

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