RJ, are you for real?
Growing up in a very conservative home, I was never told that Santa Claus was real or that he'd bring us presents. My parents, for a variety of reasons, never felt it necessary to tell us that some fat guy from the North Pole was going to give us the presents they had bought us (why give him credit?*). Part of our Christmas tradition became reading the book "Santa, are you for real?". It's a heart warming tale of the real St. Nicholas and his exploits.
Having just come out of the holiday season and enjoying some Spurs basketball, I took notice of a seemingly much-different Richard Jefferson. Now we all remember RJ2.0. He started off really, really well last year and even ended up with some very nice stats, but he faded. In fact, he faded quite badly down the stretch; so much so that we didn't even seem him in the last half of the final playoff debacle game. So the question is now RJamnesty, are you for real?
I hope he's real. Rage has been somewhat of a thorn in the side of us Spurs fans. He was brought in as the missing piece. He was going to push this team over the top and on the their 5th ring. Then he played a game. All was at an end! What had the "Greatest Front Office" in the league done? Why were we playing this guy who looked lost as a baby lamb that's...lost? Clearly, it was a failed experiment and we'd just have to overcome it somehow.
Then, miracle of all miracles, Princess Peanut opts out of his crazy contract. Well, what do our beloved Spurs do? Re-sign him of course . Now realistically there were no better options at SF that the Spurs could afford. RJ then came out and made the FO look really smart, which they are. He shot great, rebounded and even played some defense. Sound familiar?

So what am I to think? I've been burned by RJ 2.0 once and I'm afraid RJ 3.0 is going to take me on a wild ride only to break my heart when it matters most, the Christmas season of the basketball year, the playoffs. Now maybe it's presumptuous of me to think the Spurs are a lock for the post-season...or at least have really good odds, but is it really? We've got the core, we've added some youthfulness, and we have the GOATPUFF and The Sickness (and Tony...Heeeee's GREAT!). With the team San Antonio fields I have a hard time seeing them miss the playoffs. So what I want to know is Richard Jefferson going to be a factor when they get there?
Here are RJ's stats thru the OKC game from Basketball-Reference.com:
Season Age Tm Lg G GS MP FG FGA FG% 3P 3PA 3P% FT FTA FT% ORB DRB TRB AST STL BLK TOV PF PTS 2011-12 31 SAS NBA 9 9 29.9 5.0 9.7 .517 3.2 5.6 .580 0.9 1.3 .667 0.3 2.7 3.0 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.0 2.1 14.1
The thing that jumps out is the crazy 3 point shooting percentage (58%, what?!), but besides that RJ is ranked 11th in PER among Small Forwards. To me the biggest improvement is in the WAY he's playing. The attitude is better, and he's showing a hunger and desire that I haven't seen. Also, it doesn't hurt that he's getting his rotations and spacing down. I can't imagine that RJ is capable of playing any better than he has been. Can he?
This leads me to believe that RJ 3.0 is not for real. Hey, fool me once shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me. I love seeing Jefferson play well and with confidence, but I can not get over what happend late last year. He simply couldn't keep the good play going and he lost it mentally, in my opinion. That said, I'd still take this play with a big fade at the end over what he gave us in year one, which was just brutal. I would love to see the improvement from last year stick, but I'd also like to get a ton of free gifts from a jolly guy living at the top of the world.
I guess I'll believe it when I see it.
*(In case my mom reads this) That wasn't a real reason my folks didn't do Santa with us, but it is one I'll be using.
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Great write-up.
I’ve been asking myself all the same questions lately, and the best I can figure out is that after me defending him for two years but ultimately coming out in favor of using our amnesty on him whether or not we signed a replacement, RJ is simply trying to make me feel like a douchebag.
I can take it, RJ. Make me look like a douchebag through June (a junebag?) and I’ll love you forever.
"A little nonsense now and then is relished by the wisest." --Willy Wonka
by SleepCrack on Jan 10, 2012 2:59 PM CST via mobile reply actions
I don’t think he will keep shooting this well (no one would) but I do believe he will be better than last year due to several factors (some overlap and some are contradictory or can work against him):
1. One more year in the system. A cliché but true.
2.
The attitude is better, and he’s showing a hunger and desire that I haven’t seen.Maybe not the best of indicators since this can change overnight but still.
3.
Also, it doesn’t hurt that he’s getting his rotations and spacing down.
4. He will carry less of a load in both minutes, scoring and defensive assignments due to our depth improvement at the wings.
5. The amnesty threat will fuel him. Making him play like is contract year every year until the clause is used or his contract actually expires. (I’m crediting CIA Pop and PAFTO for this).
6. He has competition at his position.
7. Everyone thinks he faded last season and playoffs and it’s true, but it’s also true that most of the team did. Like Pop said, the whole team underperformed against Memphis, why single out RJ? Our bigs looked helpless against theirs. Tony was either a wash or even outplayed by Conley; and Manu, George and RJ were against 2 of the best wing defenders in the league.
8. We now have TJ giving us at least one playmaker at all times. George was simple not one.
9. Look at his shooting motion, specially on catch and shoot situations, is a thing of beauty. One fluid movement and no hesitation.
10. He has looked for his shots (and making them) when the team seems to be running out of clock.
A casual diehard Spurs fan.
Also doesn’t hurt that the team is running more plays for him. There was an article about RJ on MySA, and they mentioned the Alley Opp as the go to play that they went away from. It’s not that he couldn’t do it, but defenses caught on.
It does look like they’ve given RJ a few extra off the ball screens or mini P&Rs to get him shots. That alone helps. And of course RJ doesn’t hurt either.
Winter is coming
He’s for real. I was going to write something about this, but in short, I think he won’t be amnestied if he stays at this confident level. Leonard, although he’ll demand more minutes, likely won’t have a shot that clean for a few years.
Who knows how the JA/Green/Neal thing will roll out.
Unless they really think they can grab someone with cap space, I doubt he gets cut. He’s too valuable just to drop.
I blame his drop off last year on RJ, but the other 50% on the coaching staff. They started to go to more 4-down toward the end of the season.
Winter is coming
I’ve been thinking the same. Just one of those relationships that can’t work no matter what, one side will continue to disappoint.
However, i can see a way for RJ to suddenly produce. All this amnesty talk, is hurtful. You can say whatever you want, but RJ seems like a down to earth guy that cares about how he’ll be remembered. Being amnestied is not something that sits well in your resume.
Maybe this is his way of tunneling his anger, because if I could describe RJ last year, it would be indifferent .
Also, he is ‘enjoying’ the bad start but our vets. NONE are playing up to par, well, except Manu.
So yes, by default, he gets more balls, and without Ginobili he will continue to get lots of touches every game.
Well, he started well, but its his job to stay in it. When you get 10 Million Dollars a year, you don’t get to start caring less just cause you get less touches, And by the way, if I remember correctly, at some point, when the team was rolling until Timmy got hurt, it really seemed to me that he wasn’t keeping up. He went completely out of sync, way before it happened to the rest.
That’s his fault. Period.
Yes, it is. I’m not saying, he’s free and clear, but the team stopped utilizing him in the way that worked. He put in time during the summer with the coaching staff, so he wanted to stay with what the team was doing.
If you don’t call plays for the guy, he’s tough to stay involved in the offense, when you are the 4th option. Waiting on open jump shots can be a busy night or a slow night, depending on the opponents defense. Bonner is a good example of that, especially with his slow release.
It was also on the Spurs coaching staff to stay on Georgie for not being aggressive all the time. Yes, it’s his personality, and that’s why he isn’t still a Spur, but they needed to stay on him to keep him in Indiana George mode.
But back to RJ. Yes, he deserves responsibility, but Spurs also reduced him out of the equation, especially when he was still producing in his limited opportunities (shooting wise).
Winter is coming
Also, he’s taking more threes that he would have passed up last year or the year before due to defender proximity. There have been several times that the defender has a pretty good jump out to the perimeter when RJ catches the ball, and he just lets it fly no matter how hard they’re coming or how close they get. It’s quite beautiful to behold.
"A little nonsense now and then is relished by the wisest." --Willy Wonka
by SleepCrack on Jan 10, 2012 3:43 PM CST via mobile reply actions
The play that stands out to me so far this season is a miss. It was a 2-pt shot as well. He received the ball, and ball faked the pass and then aggressively shot the ball. It didn’t go in, but he would not have faked the year before.
Obviously, the go to one is the block/3-pt shot though.
This was in either the Denver or Golden State game.
Winter is coming
Good stuff… this 3-point pace will be very tough to maintain, but if he can hit somewhere in the mid- to high-40s, percentage-wise, and continue to work on the boards I’ll be satisfied. Really, as long as he hits ANYTHING in the playoffs (assuming SA makes the playoffs, that is) I’ll be satisfied. Isn’t that what it will really come down to: hitting these shots when it counts the most?
The coaching staff has to get smarter about getting the team shots. Those open shots won’t be there as often. It’s good RJ is hitting stuff with hands in his face, but the rest of the team depends on those open shots as well.
I really hope they institute more motion and backscreens for the 3-pt shot.
Winter is coming
He’s also shooting 3s from everyone on the floor, whereas last year, he was mostly camped out in the corners.
by CapHill on Jan 10, 2012 6:15 PM CST up reply actions 1 recs
rec'd for everyone.
Will argue against trading #45 until I am blue in the face and your eyes and ears are bleeding.
by SpursfanSteve on Jan 10, 2012 6:55 PM CST up reply actions
I’m going to go out on a limb and predict that RJ finishes the season averaged 13.5 ppg, and shoots 50% from 3. He’ll also be the most well rounded SF we’ve had since Sean Elliott, and he won’t disappoint us in the playoffs this year…unless the whole team no shows again.
Will argue against trading #45 until I am blue in the face and your eyes and ears are bleeding.
Wait… you did say that RJ 3.0 is not for real, right? Does. Not. Compute.
by silverandblack_davis on Jan 10, 2012 5:54 PM CST up reply actions
I thought he was for real last season except when he flopped in the playoffs. We should always keep in mind that he is at best the 4th option, and last year with George Hill he was the 5th option a lot. I think a lot of people expect him to produce like he did in NJ or Milwaukee but those situations were completely different. In NJ he played with Kidd who at that time of Kidd’s career was just going to inflate anyone’s stats with the way he rebounded and broke out so quickly, head always up and rarely looking to score for himself. And in Milwaukee RJ was the number one scoring option, ball in his hands a ton.
With Manu out he is the 3rd guy (Even though Timmy doesn’t score as much as he used to he still gets more touches than RJ ever will) so his numbers should be up but I think it’s all about efficiency and sometimes it’s hard for players to be efficient when they don’t get many touches. I think RJ is beyond that and his comfort level is sky high and in turn so is his confidence and productivity. He won’t keep up his 3-point percentage but like Tynan said, if he stays in the 40’s I’ll be stoked. Also his playoff outing will determine a lot of how much of this year was a success for him.
That’s a big problem. Timmy shouldn’t be the 3rd guy. And I say this, being his biggest fan (and the reason why I came to be a Spurs fan). He should be more of the 4th option with the option to take over if he’s on. The problem, is the post season brings in teams that will match up better with him and it is important that the team knows how to handle that. But that’s another topic…
Winter is coming
If post play is the 4th option then this team won’t do any damage. It’s like a running game in football or even better working the body in boxing. It softens up defenses. If everything if perimeter oriented then defenses have an easy time keying in.
But, the Spurs can’t go to post much during the season because they are going to wear down Duncan. Sure, here and there, but if they don’t develop other options, they will be in trouble. It’s really tricky, but they really need to nail down some other options as well. Having the ability to go 4-down is nice at times, but Spurs are clearly no longer in the time when Duncan is going to go 4-down for 5 straight plays, for instance.
Winter is coming
I have defended him forever. I needed an alley oop but im calling it now.
RJ for MIP!!!!!
Do or do not! There is no try!
by Spurs Yoda on Jan 10, 2012 5:38 PM CST via mobile reply actions
Really, we could just ask, “Spurs, are you for real?” It’s not just RJ that we don’t quite trust. No matter how good the team looks at times, and even if they real off an incredible record like last season, it’s the playoffs that we will use to judge them by. We are a bit spoiled that way.
(Full disclaimer: I hate everyone.) -- Fred Silva and JRW

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