The NEW Odd-Numbered Year Theory

by J.R. Wilco on Mar 4, 2011 4:22 PM CST in Off The Wall

Bringing Order to Chaos

After the new Millennium began, the Spurs ended the Laker's bid for a four-peat, and started winning rings (as was popular to say at the time) every odd-numbered year (ONY) until Manu's injury forced him to miss the '09 playoffs and the run ended, or did it? Sometimes the answer to a problem can only be solved by gaining a better perspective. How you look at a problem is often times trumped by WHERE you view it FROM.

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via buzopics on Flickr

What appears at first to be a random scattering of data points can be revealed as a wonderful design; full of beauty and promise. If we think outside of the box of the current Millennium, we see that the Spurs won rings in '99, '03, '05, and '07, which we can examine mathematically, as a series spread out across the past 12 years. :

CHAMPIONSHIP in ‘99

three

years

off

CHAMPIONSHIP in ‘03

off-year

CHAMPIONSHIP in ‘05

off-year

CHAMPIONSHIP in ‘07

three

years

off

Which brings us to 2011

The pattern kind of jumps out at you, doesn't it?

This year (the 13^thyear of the series) is an odd-numbered year, of course, but with two non-championship ONY since '99, this year's significance is revealed when viewing the symmetry of the whole system. So, what do you think now: is 2011 a good year to get ring number 5 for Duncan?

5 in 11

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via Dricker94 on Flickr

The best thing about such a series, is that after it runs its course ... it repeats.

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Comments

I’m both excited and terrified. I see so many flaws though I can’t tell if they’re actual flaws or rolling over as a method of saving energy (like the Memphis game). I’m also incredibly worried with Parker out.

"If the NBA season is a marathon, Gregg Popovich is a full-blooded Kenyan."

-Timothy Varner 48MoH

by Jordan Leithart on Mar 4, 2011 4:25 PM CST reply actions

Patience, my young Padawan.

Remember Hill’s excellence with Parker on the bench almost exactly one year ago.

Pounding the Rock
I cannot wait for the sixth fifth. - LasEspuelas

by J.R. Wilco on Mar 4, 2011 5:40 PM CST up reply actions

i’ve been talking about this exact symmetry for 2 years now – it’s a beautifully drawn shape that lifts its pencil after we win the ’ship this year.

done. and. done.

by DunCro Lovechild on Mar 4, 2011 4:29 PM CST reply actions

I’ve been sitting on this story for a few months without telling anyone about it. Finally shared it with SiMA and CapHill today and decided to go ahead and post b/c they loved the idea so much.

It’s fine if the pencil lifts, but I’d prefer if it was put to use immediately afterward.

Pounding the Rock
I cannot wait for the sixth fifth. - LasEspuelas

by J.R. Wilco on Mar 4, 2011 5:39 PM CST up reply actions

Symmetry might mean that this year would be the last championship. i prefer the idea of a progressive pattern where they now fill in the even years to win five straight championships.

by Alamo on Mar 4, 2011 4:57 PM CST reply actions

Another lurker into the light!

Hi guys,

long time first time here. I have been on the silver and black wagon since 1990 (the rookie season of a certain someone..hmm) Anyways, just saying that to establish I am NOT a bandwagon fan.

I remember joining the Air Force and going to the top of the Tower of the Americas and seeing the Alamodome for the first time and just being in awe that this was the place where David Robinson lit up the scoreboard on a nightly basis. And even though there was nothing going on (it was the middle of the day and there was a boatshow I believe) , I walked over there and got chills walking through the doors.

But I digress.

I love where the Spurs are at right now. I have watched every game so far (NBA LEAGUE Pass; best gift from my girlfriend ever!)

Even though they have looked average at times (76’ers, Clippers, Grizz) They have had far fewer hiccups than most of the “contenders”

Even our setbacks have had positive results (&erson goes down Neal steps up, Bonner goes out for a few and Taigo gets some burn)

and now that Tony has went down, I can’t help but think that Hill getting some starter minutes will help down the road as well as get &erson a few more minutes so he gets assimilated quicker.

I guess, I just wanted to let you guys know you have another brother here to enjoy the highs with and go through the lows with.

But as far as I’ve seen, this bandwagon is definitely on the up trend.

by icewater on Mar 4, 2011 4:58 PM CST reply actions

Welcome!

"If the NBA season is a marathon, Gregg Popovich is a full-blooded Kenyan."

-Timothy Varner 48MoH

by Jordan Leithart on Mar 4, 2011 5:02 PM CST up reply actions

Welcome to PtR, icewater. Thanks for stepping into the fray.

When a lurker crosses over, I’m always curious as to how long they’ve been reading before taking the plunge with that first comment. Do you mind sharing your story with us?

Pounding the Rock
I cannot wait for the sixth fifth. - LasEspuelas

by J.R. Wilco on Mar 4, 2011 5:36 PM CST up reply actions

Cool name.

by DrumsInTheDeep on Mar 4, 2011 6:09 PM CST up reply actions

‘Specially when it’s flowing through the veins.

Pounding the Rock
I cannot wait for the sixth fifth. - LasEspuelas

by J.R. Wilco on Mar 4, 2011 6:10 PM CST up reply actions

Sorry JRW,

Didn’t see the question. Still figuring out the software. Man it’s different on this side of lurkidom (is that a word?) Anyways…

As I said, been a fan since David’s rookie season. I was a sophomore in HS I believe.

I now live in SLC Utah and work for a major railroad. I go to most Jazz v Spurs games.

I have been reading PTR since the beginning of this year in October. I really forgot how I found the site, but probably from mysanantonio.com since I read that quite a bit too.

I decided to come out because of the excitement I feel when watching the good guys win but having no one to celebrate with as I am one of the few Spurs fans I know of in this city (for obvious reasons).

Anyways, I hope to contribute. I DVR every game and watch each one closely, even the loses to learn about our team. I love the community you guys have built here and I feel the welcome…GSG!

by icewater on Mar 5, 2011 9:39 PM CST up reply actions

Thanks for filling in the blanks, icewater. It’s much appreciated. And this:

I DVR every game and watch each one closely, even the loses to learn about our team.

sounds like a true £er. Looking forward to your contributions to the community. GSG!

Pounding the Rock
I cannot wait for the sixth fifth. - LasEspuelas

by J.R. Wilco on Mar 5, 2011 11:31 PM CST up reply actions

CHAMPIONSHIP in ‘99

three

years

off

CHAMPIONSHIP in ‘03

off-year

CHAMPIONSHIP in ‘05

off-year

CHAMPIONSHIP in ‘07

three

years

off

CHIP? 2011

off year

CHIP? 2013

off year

CHIP? 2015

three

years

off

CHIP? 2019

off year

CHIP? 2021

off year

CHIP? 2023

three

off

years

CHIP? 2027

off year

CHIP? 2029

off year

CHIP? 2031

Biggest coach Pop/Tiago Splitter homer on the internet™

by Josh Guyer (completely deck) on Mar 4, 2011 5:15 PM CST reply actions

I’d prefer it if there wasn’t any off year between ‘11 and ’13. So that at the end of the 13 year series, ANOTHER 13 year series immediately begins. That way, even though we’d be switching from odds to evens, we WOULD have the comfort of finally getting a repeat in there.

Pounding the Rock
I cannot wait for the sixth fifth. - LasEspuelas

by J.R. Wilco on Mar 4, 2011 5:35 PM CST up reply actions

So, if your pattern holds, there is a repeat and the sequence switches to ENY, does that guarantee there will be a lockout in ’11’12 to begin the ENY sequence and preserve the symmetry with ’98’99?

"Do something stupid and you’re going to regret it but, for God’s sake, don’t stand there and do nothing at all." - hirschof

by the old photog on Mar 4, 2011 7:24 PM CST up reply actions

Excellent point, Professor.

If there is one, then this series predicts that the lockout would only be for a portion of the season, and there would be an agreement reached – saving the season.

Pounding the Rock
I cannot wait for the sixth fifth. - LasEspuelas

by J.R. Wilco on Mar 4, 2011 8:35 PM CST up reply actions