Game #40 Preview: Mavericks @ Spurs, Round 3

I know what you're probably thinking after that hard-fought four game sweep of the T'Wolves and two-game sweep of the Bucks. These guys again? Chyeah, it's our in-state rivals... again! And we're barely into the midway point of the season. Fear not, since the 4th meeting will be a long ways away -- March 18 to be exact -- so hopefully we've locked up the number one seed in the West that time, and we can enjoy some Popovich mind games to again mess up the Mavs.

Anyway.

Still too early to be thinking about seeding, right? For now, this is the game at hand. Let's go.

Before the actual preview, here's a Fight Club trailer using Calvin & Hobbes cartoons. Pretty awesome.



This is a shot of McDyess' butt. Fear it. Just don't smell it.

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San Antonio Spurs @ Dallas Mavericks
Where: AT&T Center

When: 1/14/2010, 7:00PM Spurs Time - Timezone Converter
Watch: KENS HD, ESPN


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By the Numbers

Data sources:
hoopdata.com | basketball-reference.com | John Hollinger's team stats

Category Offense
(rank)
Defense
(rank)
Efficiency Rating 109.6
(1st)
100.4
(7th)
Rebound %
25.6
(17th)
74.8
(10th)
Field Goal % 47.1
(5th)
45.2
(15th)
3-Point % 39.7
(2nd)
39.1
(28th)
Free Throw %
77.6
(11th)
74.1
(5th)
Turnover %
12.7
(1st)
13.8
(14th)
Assist %
59.9
(8th)
54.6
(4th)
Category Offense
(rank)
Defense
(rank)
Efficiency Rating 106.0
(11th)
101.4
(10th)
Rebound %
22.5
(28th)
74.7
(13th)
Field Goal % 47.3
(3rd)
44.2
(7th)
3-Point % 36.2
(14th)
35.4
(11th)
Free Throw %
78.1
(9th)
74.7
(7th)
Turnover %
13.6
(17th)
13.1
(20th)
Assist %
64.1
(3rd)
58.4
(19th)
Record Wins Losses
Overall 33 6
Conference 22 3
Division 5 2
Home 20
2
Away 13 4
Position Conference Division
Record 1st 1st
Lineups

Starters
PG: Tony Parker
SG: Manu Ginobili
SF: Richard Jefferson
PF: DeJuan Blair
C: Tim Duncan

Key Bench Players
George Hill
Matt Bonner
Antonio McDyess
Gary Neal
Tiago Splitter

Record Wins Losses
Overall 26 11
Conference 16 5
Division 4
3
Home 14 8
Away 12 3
Position Conference Division
Record 3rd 2nd
Lineups

Starters
PG: Jason Kidd
SG: DeShawn Stevenson
SF: Shawn Marion
PF: Brian Cardinal
C: Tyson Chandler

Key Bench Players
J.J. Barea
Jason Terry
Alexis Ajinca
Brendan Haywood
Sasha Pavlovic

Matchup Analysis

Point Guard
Shooting Guard
Small Forward
Power Forward

Center
Bench
Coach

Intangibles
Mojo
Winner

Starters

PG: Last time Tony squared up with Kidd, Le Baguette got dominated by The Oldness, including a highlight-reel, LeBro-style chase down block of a fastbreak layup by Parker. Le Coq hasn't been right lately in terms of scoring (14.1 ppg in January), but I do appreciate his 11 assists per game average over the last two games to make up for it. However, these are the times, going up against a slow but definitely still crafty PG in Kidd, that Tony must really step up his scoring numbers.

SG: Speaking of putting the ball in the bucket, Manu has regained his point-happy ways, which is most likely a clear indication that the flu bag has finally been defeated. Stevenson, meanwhile, has been shooting lights out in Dirk's absence, and it would behoove the Spurs to stop the guy from getting into a groove.

SF: Shawn Marion has somewhat resurrected his Phoenix Suns glory days taking the place of Caron Butler in the starting lineup, and I expect him to continue playing well because that's what Regular Season Marion does. Playoff Marion, however, is a different story and someone who is a property of the Spurs. Rage, on the other hand, stunk up the joint in that Bucks game (zero points... tough night), and if someone reminds him, he also kinda went cold during our last meeting with the Mavs, save for some late game buckets that redeemed his poor shooting night. Let's bounce back to 2.0 mode, please.

PF: In a desperate attempt to end their two-game slump, Carlisle sent The Jet back to the bench and went with a Twin Towers combination of Alexis Ajinca and Tyson Chandler, but to great non-effect. I figured Carlisle will keep Terry on the bench, but go back to starting Brian "The Janitor" Cardinal, who played well against the Spurs the last meeting.

C: Timmeh schooled Chandler in crucial stretches in Round 2, and I'm hoping more of the same in Round 3.

Bench

The Gnat and The Nutpuncher have always given the Spurs problems. If Dirk continues to not play, that shortens the bench for Carlisle and really limits the offense. Neal and Bonner (who's been en fuego these past few games) continue to shoot whenever open. Dice plays Dirk as well as anyone.

Coaching

Carlisle has gotten the Mavs to really play defense, while still maintaining a potent offense, but his team's been struggling mightily in the absence of the big German. Pop has been brillian this season in managing the roster and throwing wrinkles into game plans.

Intangibles

Dallas played the Spurs tough in their second meeting despite Dirk's absence. Guess you just gotta throw stats and whatnot outside the window whenever these two teams meet.

Mojo

The Spurs are off to their best start in franchise history. The Mavs are reeling with a three-game losing streak, and should be determined in breaking the slump.

Prediction

I'm trusting that the Spurs will want to take advantage if Nowitzki is still out. But if Dirk suits up, watch out. It's gonna be a reaaaally tough one.

Key(s) to the Game

Turnovers - The Mavericks are middle of the pack in turnover rate. The Spurs need to continue their thieving ways, in order to start the fast break and get easy points. The Mavericks defense can't stop what it can't catch.

Ball Movement - The Mavericks all-around defense has no glaring holes, so Tony and Manu are going to have to penetrate the defense and then look to kick out to the shooters. No doubt, Dallas will continue to employ its vaunted zone defense, so ball movement needs to be crisp to provide open looks.

Other Reading

Spurs

48 Minutes of Hell

OPPONENT

Mavs Moneyball (SB Nation)

Following Along

TV

Fox Sports Southwest (San Antonio), ESPN

Radio

WOAI 1200AM; Audio League Pass[streaming]

Online

As always, NBA league pass is recommended for those who are willing to pony up the cash. Almost every Spurs game will be broadcast there, which is especially helpful for those of us who aren't in the San Antonio area.

Please don't post links to illegal game feeds in the game thread. Links to illegal feeds are not permitted on SBNation, but you can probably find them out there on the internets if you're resourceful and desperate. You can also shoot an email to poundingtherockmail@yahoo.com (IMPORTANT: Please include your PtR username in the email for reference) for further assistance.

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