Spurs - Mavs Predictions Thread

by BlaseE on Apr 16, 2010 9:05 AM CDT

This wait until Sunday is brutal, but I'm just reminding myself that the worse it is for me, the better it is for the Spurs and Hill's ankle. I figure Tim or Davis will post a preview for game one late Saturday or early Sunday, so I thought I would create this post for this twilight zone between the regular season and the playoffs.

Read some of my predictions and share yours after the jump....

I'm thinking the series will be Spurs in 6 and we don't lose a home game.

Two Spurs wins will be by double digits

The Mavs will have one big win and one they steal from us.

(More of a theory than a prediction) Holt called Pop pregame, and said, "bench and Manu and Duncan, the numbers are in, and Mavs games sell the most alcohol of all Spurs games."

Bonner will average more points than RJ, but both will hold their ground defensively.

Blair won't see more than 12 minutes a game.

Mason will be the leading scorer in one of the two losses.

Those are some mine. What do you think?

Poll

What is the most likely thing to happen in this series?

Pop gets ejected for one of the games.

13 votes

Hill tells the press he went to Indiana and not IUPUI just to get them to stop.

1 votes

Blair averages more minutes than Mason.

26 votes

RJ leads the team in scoring in a winning effort.

11 votes

SWEEP!!!

10 votes

Bonner shuts down Dirk.

6 votes

Mason finally finds his shot.

8 votes

Duncan averages 25 and 13.

42 votes

Tony comes off the bench in every game.

22 votes

Cuban will get his highest fine yet.

9 votes

Blair sets the Spurs and/or NBA rookie rebound record for a playoff game.

45 votes

193 votes | Poll has closed

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Comments

I think Tim is going to go off the bigs on Dallas bigs

by JaySo on Apr 16, 2010 9:48 AM CDT reply actions

Still learning how to comment from my phone

by JaySo on Apr 16, 2010 9:50 AM CDT up reply actions

I had it at 30 and 10 originally and changed it to 25 and 13.

by BlaseE on Apr 16, 2010 10:04 AM CDT up reply actions

Historically we win more when Timmy is in that 24-28 point range. When we lean on him for 30+ it’s usually because no one else can make a shot and we lose a close one.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Apr 16, 2010 1:28 PM CDT up reply actions

I can’t find the rookie rebounding records for a playoff game. If he gets 20 boards total or 9 offensive boards, he will be on some of the basketball-reference lists for all players though.

by BlaseE on Apr 16, 2010 10:27 AM CDT reply actions

I submitted a request to basketball-reference to add rookie leader pages.

by BlaseE on Apr 16, 2010 11:07 AM CDT up reply actions

I’m going with Blair.

Spurs Basketball. Improving [other] NBA teams since 2010! - swgeek

by Tim C. on Apr 16, 2010 10:37 AM CDT reply actions

by Big50 on Apr 16, 2010 10:44 AM CDT up reply actions

Da BEAST!

"Mr. Gilmore deserves to be in the Basketball Hall of Fame damnit. Highest field goal percentage EVER"

http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/g/gilmoar01.html

by Joe deLarios on Apr 16, 2010 1:59 PM CDT up reply actions

Same here. He proved effective.

I smell death... everywhere.

by LatinD on Apr 17, 2010 12:04 AM CDT up reply actions

Mavs games sell the most alcohol of all Spurs games

That’s thinking like a business man.

I voted RMJ finds his shot because I hope he does, think he can and if he does he’ll average more minutes than Blair.

Do we know the rebound record for a rookie in a playoff game?

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Apr 16, 2010 1:27 PM CDT reply actions

I can’t find it….

by BlaseE on Apr 16, 2010 1:34 PM CDT up reply actions

It might be Beasley’s 15 from last season against Atlanta, but I’m still searching.

by BlaseE on Apr 16, 2010 1:44 PM CDT up reply actions

What about Timmy in ‘98 or the Admiral in ’89? I’d start there, but if you can go back further I’d look at Kareem and Russell. I have to believe, especially back when the pace was faster, that some of those guys had to have one game of 18+.

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Apr 16, 2010 1:47 PM CDT up reply actions

Gooden: 17
Duncan: 14
Stoudemire: 14
Horford: 14

still looking

by BlaseE on Apr 16, 2010 1:50 PM CDT up reply actions

Robinson, D.Howard, and Shaq are 3 great rebounding bigs that didn’t make the playoffs their rookie year.

by BlaseE on Apr 16, 2010 1:55 PM CDT up reply actions

rodman too

by BlaseE on Apr 16, 2010 1:56 PM CDT up reply actions

Rodman was not much of rebounder early in his career

"Mr. Gilmore deserves to be in the Basketball Hall of Fame damnit. Highest field goal percentage EVER"

http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/g/gilmoar01.html

by Joe deLarios on Apr 16, 2010 2:00 PM CDT up reply actions

Robinson won rookie of the year in 1990. We made the semis against Portland that season (darn Rod Strickland).

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Apr 16, 2010 2:41 PM CDT up reply actions

basketball-reference doesn’t show that…..they show his first series being GS in his second year

by BlaseE on Apr 16, 2010 2:50 PM CDT up reply actions

yes – i thought that sounded strange that we did not make the playoffs David’s rookie year – in fact wasn’t that one of the greatest turnaround years in NBA history?

"Mr. Gilmore deserves to be in the Basketball Hall of Fame damnit. Highest field goal percentage EVER"

http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/g/gilmoar01.html

by Joe deLarios on Apr 16, 2010 3:02 PM CDT up reply actions

10 playoff games in 1990 (3 game sweep of Denver, 7 game loss to Portland) he averaged 24.4 pts, 12 rebounds. Not sure about individual game numbers

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Apr 16, 2010 3:07 PM CDT up reply actions

you’re right….not sure why basketball-reference is missing that info….

i can’t find it anywhere….

by BlaseE on Apr 16, 2010 3:12 PM CDT up reply actions

The Admiral led the Spurs to the playoffs his rookie year (biggest one-season turnaround in NBA history until that point), where they barely lost to the Blazers in the WC semifinals.

by 4Him on Apr 16, 2010 3:09 PM CDT up reply actions

Oops…should have scrolled down further – y’all beat me to it.

by 4Him on Apr 16, 2010 3:11 PM CDT up reply actions

those are pretty doable for Mr. 20/20.

by Cedarpark on Apr 16, 2010 1:58 PM CDT up reply actions

I think that since the late 80’s, Gooden’s 17 is the best.

Another crazy stat: Samaki Walker (twice) is the only Spur to break 10 rebounds in a playoff game before turning 25. Blair has 4 years to completely own that list. He doesn’t turn 21 until the Thursday after Game 2.

by BlaseE on Apr 16, 2010 2:04 PM CDT up reply actions

Timmy didn’t do that before turning 25?

You gotta bring ass to get ass.

by SpurredOn on Apr 16, 2010 2:43 PM CDT up reply actions

my bad, other than Duncan….left that out Duncan did it like 20 or so times

by BlaseE on Apr 16, 2010 2:48 PM CDT up reply actions

Walker is the only other player….Robinson missed out on so many opportunities because of his Navy service

by BlaseE on Apr 16, 2010 2:48 PM CDT up reply actions

Duncan’s 14 was in 43 minutes. Remember that if Blair breaks it because he’ll do it in 25 or so.

Gooden’s 17 was amazing. Orlando played and lost a seven game series with Detroit (in 02-03), and Gooden averaged 12.7 rebounds per game as a rookie.

Duncan was more impressive because he scored more and had more blocks, assists, and everything else though. Oh yeah, and he won his first series, sweeping PHX without h/c. They then lost to Utah in 5, also without h/c.

by BlaseE on Apr 16, 2010 2:23 PM CDT up reply actions