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Overpaid vs. the Best Bang for the Buck

Statistics is in vogue recently. Talking heads tell us from the TV screen that the teams that pay more for the statistical analysis are more successful in the NBA. PtR wizards draw shot diagrams and enlighten us about PPS and the expected FG percentage of our favorite players. Being unable to contribute anything substantial, I feel nevertheless that I cannot stand completely idle. Recent and in particularly today's performance of several Spur players brought a new wood to the fire of the discussion about our most overpaid player. While RJ seemed to be an early run-away favorite for the MOP title, he has now competition not only from Mase and Bonner, but also from certain members of the Big 3. I am trying here to support this discussion with some relevant statistics.

Star-divide

First, I evaluated the player's offensive efficiency with points per minute (PPM) measure. PPS would be a good alternative too, but I have chosen PPM or "bang". Then I found out what is the cost of the bang unit for a particular player. This measure, cost of the bang, is what we can use for MOP discussion. Here are the numbers, in millions of dollars for point per minute (season 2010 so far):

 

Tim Duncan $37.926 M/bang
Richard Jefferson $36.545 M/bang
Kobe Bryant $32.334 M/bang
Tony Parker $24.131 M/bang
LeBron James $20.635 M/bang
Manu Ginobili $20.146 M/bang
Antonio McDyess $15.406 M/bang
Roger Mason Jr. $10.719 M/bang
Matt Bonner $7.883 M/bang
Keith Bogans $4.481 M/bang
Malik Hairston $2.832 M/bang
George Hill $2.575 M/bang
DeJuan Blair $2.042 M/bang
Ian Mahinmi $1.859 M/bang

So, in terms of their offensive efficiency, Tim Duncan is the most overpaid Spurs player, and Yawn Mahinmi is the Best Bang for the Buck, 20 times more efficient investment in scoring than TD. RJ is the closest player we have to Kobe Bryant, and Manu Ginobili is a bit more efficient than LeBron. Of course, these are only scoring-related numbers, and they ignore all other contributions by the players. But under the simplistic assumption that the players are paid to score, these numbers may be somewhat informative.

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I will abstain from comment on your methodology :-) but I agree RJ and Tim are our most overpaid. Earlier in the season I was hopeful about Tim, but he’s starting to look more like an old Tim Duncan than “the” old Tim Duncan.

Of course Tony is also overpaid right now due to injury. Last year he was underpaid, let’s hope he comes back healthy and is underpaid again during the playoffs.

by doggydogworld on Mar 18, 2010 9:44 PM CDT reply actions  

RJ is the closest player we have to Kobe Bryant

Just had to take that out of context. I should use that as my sig and attribute it to you Kondor.

by swgeek on Mar 18, 2010 10:16 PM CDT reply actions  

Thank you ;-)

We should start rebuilding around Durant

by Kondor on Mar 18, 2010 11:15 PM CDT up reply actions  

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