State of the Spurs
After a successful offseason, most Spurs fans are excited for the start of the season. However, while the preseason answered some of our questions, it also raised some big ones too. Welcome to State of the Spurs, my monthly attempt to determine where the Spurs are, by asking and answering my own questions. It's really not as bad as it sounds.
But talking to yourself Never sounds bad, Cap. [jrw]
Yes, this is long, but it's the very first entry, and I have a lot of ground to cover. Deal with it and listen to some music while you read.
The Players
So which players have already proven themselves this preseason and which ones have some work to do to quiet the voices in my head?
Frontcourt
Most Definitely An Answer: Tim Duncan. There is no questioning of Timmeh. He might be old, but he's still pretty darn good. Pop has shown a concerted effort to limit Timmeh's minutes, and he's looked good in those limutes. Duncan's per game stats may suffer, but his per minute stats and overall efficiency should remain the same.
Answer with some Room for Improvement: DeJuan Blair. DeBeast spent his time during the offseason beefing up his offensive game. Blair's ability to limit his fouls and to stay on the floor is huge for the Spurs. His continued improvement is key to the frontcourt this year, although he'll still have issues against bigger lineups. At least we never have to worry about his rebounding.
Answer and Anchor for the Bench: Antonio McDyess. Still has that smooth jumper. Still plays good defense. Still a solid backup and option off the bench.
Big Question for the Postseason: Matt Bonner. Matty is needed for his ability to shoot the ball, and for his hustle. However, the lack of big guys means Bonner will play more minutes than he should. Unfortunately, the biggest question about Matt can't be answered until the postseason.
Incomplete - Not Enough Information: Tiago Splitter. All of the experts agree that Splitter will be a contributor and an improvement over some of our previous bigs, especially on the defensive end. But he hasn't seen the court yet. No matter how accomplished Tiago is, he can't just step on the court and blend in seamlessly How long of a transition will it be once Splitter takes the floor? And is his "injury" just Pop being ultra-cautious or will it linger?
Small Forward
Answer with a Need for More Anger: Richard Jefferson. RJ may never mimic his stats with the Nets, but his improvement this preseason can't be discounted. He looks less confused during offensive sets, more comfortable on the defensive end, and has exhibited the aggressiveness that earned him the Rage moniker. Jefferson will need to be the definitive 4th option for the team this year.
Question due to Rookieness: James Anderson. The last several preseason games Anderson has been the primary SF backup. He's shown good effort in the preseason, but has also shown the inconsistency of a rookie. He needs to remember the aggressiveness from his college days, but he has great potential .
Question due to Lack of Veteran Savvy: Bobby Simmons is the other option. Yes, he's a veteran, but Simmons hasn't yet been a major spark off the bench on either end of the court. The JV needs to coach him up.
Question due to CIA Pop: Alonzo Gee. Dang, not even a psychic knows what Pop is doing here.
Backcourt
Answer who Deserves More Respect: Tony Parker. His speed is back, and Tony has been ballin' this preseason. No reason to worry about what we can't control, and it's time to just enjoy watching Parker play.
Answer with a Crazy Foreign Flair: Manu Ginobili. The summer off has done a world of good for the Argentine. His 3-pt shooting is back, as well as his patented forays to the basket. The rest of the NBA should be prepared for a season of his supernova play.
Currently only a Minor Answer, but an Answer: Garrett Temple. Temple is not going to be a star, but he did nothing this offseason to dispel his usefulness as a backup. Garrett continued to demonstrate his versatility, but he must become more confident with his shot.
A Puzzling Question: George Hill. I'm not really questioning Hill's role on this team or his ability. However, he needs to get out of his own head. It's obvious that George spent time this summer trying to improve his floor game, but his lack of confidence on the offensive end translated to the defensive end too. We need Hill to be Ninja Bot.
Question due to Lack of Sample Size: Gary Neal. Neal could prove to be the offensive spark needed off of the bench, especially with Manu now starting. However, if his shot is off, Gary doesn't stop chucking. And though the effort has been there on the defensive end, Neal is small for a SG and hasn't yet played a full season at this level.
The Team
Health
Question: Are the Spurs healthy?
Answer: Most definitely Yes! Tony looks like the Tony of old, Manu has his hops back, and Timmeh looks as spry as he has in years. Anderson is recovered from his hammy, and no other major injuries occurred during training camp. You can't predict future injuries, but neither can any other team.
Depth
Question: Has does the depth compare to last year's?
Answer: The backcourt has two legitimate All-Star starters in Tony and Manu, an experienced backup in Hill, and the intriguing potential of Temple. Pop also has the ability to go with the hot hand in either Neal or Anderson. Big thumbs up! But the Frontcourt? Currently, very scary. Without Splitter, the Spurs are down to 4 big men. The foul trouble that both Blair and Bonner exhibited in the preseason could require Duncan and Dice to play more minutes. And RJ is just going to have to play some serious minutes, until one of his potential backups steps up.
Defense
Question: Will the Spurs have anything remotely resembling a Pop-orchestrated defense?
Answer: Potentially yes. Blair's improvement will allow Timmeh to guard the paint, where his lateral movement won't come into play. Splitter should help against the bigger lineups. We have the athletic wings necessary for chasing shooters. But there's that pesky little problem of Execution. There hasn't been much during the preseason. The Rockets killed us down low, and the perimeter defense has been non-existent. Potential without execution doesn't mean squat. I envision Pop yelling early and often.
Bench
Question: Will the bench overachieve or disappoint?
Answer: The loudest voice is yelling "BAM", because unlike other years, the Spurs have some serious youth. No longer are the Spurs the old farts of the League (despite what the experts might say). Only Dice is older than 30, and the young guys on the bench are extremely conducive to Pop wanting to push the ball. The talent is there. Yes, the bench is inexperienced, especially with Manu now starting, and there will quite probably be some really ugly quarters (RQCs). But Pop showed a willingness to go deep during the preseason, and by the end of the year, the rotation should be firing on all cylinders. Besides, if it does go south, Pop will just put Manu back on the bench and life will be good.
Three-Point Shooting
Question: Will any of the Spurs resemble the outside shooting threat that the offense is predicated on?
Answer: There are no answers - just lots and lots of screams. Yes, Manu and Matty have looked better from behind the arc, but no one else has been consistent. We're can't be much worse than last year, but I can't say we're actually better either, and we need to be better. The corner pocket is your friend, guys.
The Beard
Question: Will Pop bring back the beard?
Answer: Please, FSM, make this so!
Since this is supposed to be an monthly post, please submit suggestions, questions, and/or therapy options in the comments or directly to yours truly.
And now I leave you with SBNation Fan Confidence Kool-Aid Poll that graces PtR in the upper left margin. As of October 20th, the Spurs have a score of 84 from the PtR Community, which is obviously feeling good about the team and will now critique my questions. But would it kill you, SBNation, to use gridlines?
Spurs Fan Confidence Poll
Last tallied on 10/20.
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Comments
Question: Are the Spurs healthy?
Answer: Most definitely Yes!
Isnt this the equivalent of calling a game in favor of the Spurs before it is over? When I read that I cringed.
Excellent writeup Cap. I hope the guys have a good start to the season. I dont want them to be playing catch up later on trying to secure the 7th seed.
"If an expert says it can't be done, get another expert"
- DBG
Concur, LE! The Big3 seem healthy now but will need rest later so I hope the younguns step up soon. I also worry about Tiago’s health/fragility (or did CIA Pop just not want to show all his weapons in preseason?) Mojo might be dead but I’m prayin for an injury-free season to put the good guys over the top…GSG!
Xlnt post as always, Cap!
Honestly. You kids today, with your hippity-hop music and your Twiddle. - Lauri
Injury free? I guess I am a pessimist & expect injury but i think its realistic, especially with the ages we keep talking about. I just hope it’s not serious with a quick recovery. Well balanced playtimes might prevent ;) .But maybe a good on-sight therapist for rub downs & keep them warmed up will keep them injury free, probably not realistic. stretching like I see Nash do during his games would be good to see. Sorry to throw a non-spurs but he’s up there in age himself & I think over all he is healthy and I most often see him stretching in between.
by cojones2thewall on Oct 26, 2010 11:55 AM CDT up reply actions
I dont know how he stays healthy while sitting on the floor when he is on the bench.
"If an expert says it can't be done, get another expert"
- DBG
by LasEspuelas on Oct 26, 2010 12:01 PM CDT up reply actions
It’s easy for him to stay healthy, LE. Haven’t you heard that he’s superhuman? It’s true! He can also occupy two places at the same time! Don’t believe me? Well, I’ve heard that he is
sitting on the floor when he is on the bench.
I don’t know how he does it, but it seems to work for him.
The point with intangibles is that no one can see them.
+1.
Rim Rockin' Red Rocket -silverandblack_davis
by SpursfanSteve on Oct 27, 2010 12:09 AM CDT up reply actions
A little off topic. All this start of the season excitement is making me consider going to the game in Charlotte. To those of you seasoned NBA basketball attendees… any suggestions on where to sit?
Right now I am considering the two circled areas:
I have never seen the “biggest three” play live (in fact I have only seen Duncan play from the noseblead seats) and I fear that my opportunities to see them live and playing together at a high level might be very limited at this point.
Which of the two circled areas would be preferable?
"If an expert says it can't be done, get another expert"
- DBG
by LasEspuelas on Oct 26, 2010 12:12 PM CDT up reply actions
When you ask for opinions you are likely to get differing ones. I’d go with the ones more toward the corner. You are at about the same level but with a wider view of the court.
I’m with Spurlady! When I’m directly behind the backboard, I sometimes feel like the whole court is compressed such that depth is difficult to judge. Moving out to the side opens things up and gives me a view of the game I’m more familiar with.
The point with intangibles is that no one can see them.
Thank you both!
"If an expert says it can't be done, get another expert"
- DBG
by LasEspuelas on Oct 26, 2010 5:51 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
Has anyone here used stubhub? I took the risk and placed an order through their website for that diagonal section in the fourth row! I hope it works out.
"If an expert says it can't be done, get another expert"
- DBG
by LasEspuelas on Oct 28, 2010 12:21 PM CDT up reply actions
No (I hope), because I never implied that they were going to stay healthy, just stating that they are now. It’s been quite some time since one of the Big 3 hasn’t had a lingering injury going into the season and/or hasn’t come off of a summer of playing b-ball. Injuries are always a worry, but the team has done everything within their power to rectify that situation. Can’t control anything else.
With all due respect, gentlemen, we're not as crazy as she is.
Hey, that’s a legit explanation from Cap there. It’s a “State of the Spurs” column, not a “Prediction for the Year” post.
You’re being overly touchy.
=]
The point with intangibles is that no one can see them.
I am so glad the season is here. i am very optimistic about this team and i think all the new parts will work and are improvements over last year…what has been driving me nuts is when you are looking at new players (neal, anderson,spliter) and internal development (jefferson, blair) and lots of rest (big 3) all these factors are hard to see until they get on the court and show/prove it to you.
I agree with your concern about our front court but i really think Spliter isnt in bad shape at all and blair is ready to tear the roof off the place! We are defiantly younger and deeper then last year, cant wait to prove it to everyone else :)
go spurs go
Great post. I like this idea. Perhaps you can add a section about the coaching and the FO? I’m not sure it would apply to every month, but at least from time to time.
Our front court is scary. Is there any chance that the FO signs Cousins to the D-League and tries to groom him?
84% confidence, that’s like a “B”. Here I will have optimism for ‘State of the Spurs’ for the pluses rather than the minuses moving forward.
by cojones2thewall on Oct 26, 2010 12:13 PM CDT reply actions
So many people here thought we had anough big men – too bad the weakness is showing that we don’t
http://www.poundingtherock.com/2010/7/17/1574933/missing-big-guys-where-is-my-bench
"The A-Train deserves to be in the Basketball Hall of Fame damnit. Highest field goal percentage EVER"
http://www.basketball-reference.com/players/g/gilmoar01.html
I’d consider getting an additional big in place of McDyess. We’re mainly short on bigs if McDyess won’t be putting in very many minutes. If he is, then there’d be very few minutes for a sixth big, who likely wouldn’t suit up very often. If they want to slightly expand their roster, a sixth assigned to the Toros wouldn’t be bad, but one hanging around in a sports coat doesn’t seem worth it. My exception to that had been making use of Fab as a player coach, but he’s no longer available.
Excellent write-up. Here’s something else to consider:
How will RAGE and BLAAAAAAIIIR respond, when opposing teams start game-planning for them?
I believe these two will surprise many in the early going. What I’m curious to see is what these two do, when teams start taking away their favorite “go-to moves” and positions on the floor. What will RJ do, when defenses start packing in the paint? What will DeJuan do, when teams begin to double-team him on boxouts or don’t fall for his ‘pick-n-roll’ feints?
↓↘→ ↓↘→ ↓↘→ + P
Come on season start for my sanity. We have hashed and re-hashed all of the potential scenarios at least one time too many.

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