OMG It's an Odd Year!!11!!Eleven11!!
I'm sorry, ok? I have been busy, and if it makes you feel any better, my life is more or less miserable. It's not that school is hard. It's not. It's just not what I was expecting. I'm not doubting my (new) choice of careers, but I thought it the experience would be more enjoyable.
Many thanks go out to AusTechSpur for keeping this place up and running. I need to call you and stuff. I owe you some Thai food at the least.
So, the Spurs. I tried to get into them once during the preseason. I was in the car, trolling for something to listen to, when I remembered AM radio still exists. So I flipped over to WOAI and lo and behold, the Spurs were on! The announcer mentioned Jacque Vaughn.
I turned off the radio.
I have no interest in watching (or listening to) Jacque Vaughn play basketball. The same goes for Finley, Thomas, Bonner, Oberto, Bowen and Udoka (though part of me is intrigued that he might FtFO and shiv somebody). Watching the Spurs has, to me, become like watching a small Tennessee town's production of Rent. You know it's going to be absolutely atrocious in parts, but you watch it to see how horribly they butcher and bastardize the intent of the musical. You could have the original cast members playing Mimi, Roger and Mark, but it wouldn't matter because they would cast some preacher's wife as Maureen and take Angel totally out of the show.
You remember my "Problem with the Spurs" post? My reaction to the comments from that post made me realize something: I don't write this blog as a Spurs fan. I am a Spurs fan, but my writing is more an (possibly poorly executed attempt at an) analysis of the Spurs / NBA. I'm not saying you're going to learn anything reading this blog; I'm saying you're not going to see me writing about the silver lining. I'm just not much of a liar, except when it comes to my family, but that's only because I'm morally obligated to tell them what they want to hear.
The Spure ain't winning shit this year. That doesn't mean you shouldn't watch / root / hope / pray that they will. But they're not. I don't know exactly how it's going to go down, but here's an outline.
1. Pop continues to rely on his older players, with Finley, Oberto, Bowen and Kurt Thomas getting way too many minutes. Mason will play early in the season and get screamed at more than he deserves. He'll then get a minor injury, which will lead Pop to say something like:
“He's hurt again,” Popovich said, “and those 35 minutes, or so, that I wanted to see him play each game isn't going to happen. They're doing an MRI again today to see if he can take the cast off and go the next step. Obviously, at this late date, he's not going to be ready to do anything in the playoffs.
“It will be tough for him, because once we start the playoffs, interjecting players who haven't been in the program really is difficult. That's a disappointment, without any doubt.”
2. Duncan starts the season slow, leading to Tony carrying too much of the burden. He'll get dinged up and spend the reason of the season at 85-90%.
3. George Hill plays about as much as I do.
4. Ginobili comes back when expected, doesn't look right, and gets sat back down for a couple weeks in Februaryish.
5. Both Parker and Duncan will spend some time on the DL.
6. There will be some stretch of games in the second half of the season where Manu plays totally out his fucking gourd for a couple of weeks, and we'll all hope. (Except for me, of course. Because I'm here to make you all miserable.)
7. The Spurs will be lingering around the 6th seed in February, and Pop will start with the whole "You have to win on the road in the playoffs anyway" bullshit, and he'll go into disguised tank mode. We'll start seeing Vaughn, Bowen, Udoka, Bonner and Oberto lineups in non-blowout situations.
8. Michael Finley ups his fiber pill intake from two to four per day.
9. Pop says "We're just trying to get everybody healthy for the playoffs."
10. Spurs fans start talking about the real season starting.
11. The Spurs finish with 48-49 wins and the seventh seed.
12. The Spurs lose in the first round in six games to either the Lakers, New Orleans or Houston.
That's how I see it going down. I still plan on watching, and I still am looking forward to the season. Seriously. I'm going to try and not think about the waning years of Tim's career, and how they're being squandered. Instead I'll relish the games where Tony gets all pissy and decides to embarrass the opposing PG for four quarters. And the games where Tim gets 24 and 15 and doesn't break a sweat, or the times when Manu reminds me how much better he is than Ray Allen. It might be all the season affords us, but gosh dang it, it's something.
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You forgot one
6.5) Pop and RC pull off a minor trade with another also-ran involving minor role-players, but with the Spurs acquiring at least one pick that will eventually draft into even more European/no-name-collegians that’ll fritter away their time in Austin or overseas, ultimately garnering more lucrative contracts abroad than we could ever afford. sigh
by schwazz on
Oct 25, 2008 7:05 PM CDT
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9.5) In the latest effort to provide a competent backup for Tony Parker, the Spurs bring Tim Hardaway out of retirement in mid-March.
chaos... panic... pandemonium... my work here is done.
by rick2g on
Oct 26, 2008 12:35 PM CDT
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Powell and I are the glass half empty meeting the glass half full. A 6-7 seed and a first round exit in 6 games sounds very doable. But, I think that is our floor, not our ceiling. You see, Powell sets his expectations very low so that he can’t be disappointed at a bad outcome. Been there, done that. He’ll come around in a few years.
by AusTechSpur on
Oct 25, 2008 7:56 PM CDT
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I stared at the title for a full minute before I understood the “eleven” part.
chaos... panic... pandemonium... my work here is done.
by rick2g on
Oct 25, 2008 10:17 PM CDT
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Not to be an idiot homer, but am I an idiot homer for thinking udoka could be better this season since he’s had a year in and he knows what to do now?
I’m an idiot homer aren’t I?
by Krukow on
Oct 25, 2008 10:34 PM CDT
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I couldn’t agree more with this post. In fact I think I have the entire NBA season mapped out. Lakers beat Hornets in 6 in the WCF; Cavs beat the Celts in 7 in the ECF. Lakers beat the Cavs in 6 in the Finals. This season feels like it’s going to be predictably predictable, but as an basketball junkie I’m ready to for the season to get rolling.
It's never just a game when you're winning. - George Carlin
by DennardC on
Oct 26, 2008 1:32 AM CDT
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I’m actually looking forward to this season… in a kinda stress-free way.
Like many of the veteran commentors around here, I don’t expect the Spurs to win anything significant this year. They were a long-shot last year, and they haven’t really done anything to shore up their weak points. The weak points are, as we all know, anyone not named Parker, Duncan, or Ginobili.
Without the big three playing at 95% or better for the playoffs, the Spurs won’t get out of the first round this year. One properly twisted ankle, one broken or severely sprained finger on a shooting hand, and it’s over.
I’ve resolved not to expect anything out the Spurs this year but entertainment for three hours every other day or so. They will tease… they will show sparks of a championship-caliber team, but it won’t stick. Nevertheless… I can’t help but look at the team and wonder what is necessary for them to compete for the finals…
First things first, Manu needs to be healthy late in the season and playing like the early 2007-8 Manu – MVP level.
Second, Ian Mahinmi needs to put up the similar numbers in the NBA to what he was putting up in the NBDL.
Third, TP has to take a step early in the season and move from great point guard to MVP contender.
Fourth, Duncan – stay healthy. That’s it.
Fifth, Ime must take Bowen’s place as a defensive small forward and occasional offensive threat.
Fifth and a half – Mason maybe picks up Finley’s increasing slack.
Sixth, Finley must… …umm… I dunno. Keep the necrotic stench of his once-great game from overwhelming his teammates during busrides.
Last… Popovich – for the sake of all that is holy, no more Stoudamire signings.
chaos... panic... pandemonium... my work here is done.
by rick2g on
Oct 26, 2008 1:08 PM CDT
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My interest will be in seeing how the new players develop. That could be frustrating when they sit on the bench but that’s the only new development for me to get interested about.
The flipside to our possible poor play this year is that Pop will have to play the new guys more than he would like, though the losses could easily make him more entrenched than ever in corporate knowledge.
It’s been almost 20 years (or more) since I had this many questions about new players on the team, well knowing that they aren’t going do do squat but deluding myself into thinking so.
Ahh yes, I can still remember those sucky years like yesterday when these were the sort of things that got a Spurs fan excited: is Walter Berry going to average 20 points per game, is Frank Brickowski the most underrated post player in the league, is Ed Nealy going to break anyone’ knees – you know, those sort of questions.
I’m not saying this year will be that bad at all but there sure are a lot of crappy players on the team that are expected to do some heavy lifting.
by Jones on
Oct 26, 2008 6:50 PM CDT
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I think it’s like ATS said: setting your expectations as low as possible is the easiest way not to be disappointed. You have every little thing going wrong, one after the other. That’s okay, but to me this is really off.
I wonder how many of the pessimistic disbelievers had the Spurs losing to the Lakers in the WCF with Manu hurting badly from his bad ankle. Was that a fluke? Were the Suns and the Hornets better than us? Are we any worse this year?
Tim Duncan won us the first game of last year’s playoffs with a triple. ’Nuff said.
by LatinD on
Oct 26, 2008 8:25 PM CDT
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spurs will finish the west 1, 2 or 3. they will cruise through tthe playoffs only losing about 4-5 games along the way and claim their 5th championship in this era without ever being put to the test in any play-off series. i’m calling it the 54 gallon tank all the way full philosophy.
the black shoes are just an added bonus.
hey, it could be way worse…think of some of the old days (he says using the Get Solid towel to wipe sweat off of brow).
by bones on
Oct 31, 2008 1:29 PM CDT
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